Sunday, September 21, 2008

A Tie? In North Carolina??

I must be dreaming.

Raleigh, N.C. – With concern over the economy at an all time high, Barack Obama has pulled into a tie with John McCain in North Carolina for the first time in a Public Policy Polling survey. Each candidate has 46%, with Libertarian Bob Barr picking up 5%.

There isn’t much doubt what’s driving this increased level of competitiveness. The
numbers of voters in the state listing the economy as their biggest issue has hovered
around 50% for most of the year but with the increased turmoil in the last week that
number has now jumped to 58%. Barack Obama has a 24 point lead with those voters.

“The more voters are concerned about the economy instead of things like immigration,
taxes, and social issues the better Democrats are going to do in North Carolina,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “That’s the direction the election is headed right now and if it remains on that course the state is going to be extremely competitive.”

I honestly doubt that McCain's in danger of losing NC, but if by some act of God, NC were still tied or if Obama has some slight lead in the state toward election day, McCain and the RNC are screwed.

7 comments:

Count Istvan said...

I think McNasty is going to take N.C. The good thing my be that they have to spend money in N.C.

Sergei Andropov said...

And according to Gallup, Obama is back to his record high of 50% (though his lead is not quite as high as it was last time).

Oh, I don't think you've seen my prediction for what the polls are going to do between now and election day. So far I've been reasonably accurate, though Obama took a little longer to recover than I had expected.

Count Istvan said...

Sergei I hopes I am wrong but right now I have it

O 273
M 265

With the hole thing coming down to Colorado.

I hope it's not that close.

Sergei Andropov said...

Where did you get those numbers?

Count Istvan said...

I have Obama winning Colorado and New Mexico but losing Ohio and Florida.

Sergei Andropov said...

But where did you get the numbers?

Count Istvan said...

That is my prediction of the electoral vote.

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